Rest of Season Projection
JoshCategoryMatt
11HR →13
44R ←42
39RBI ←32
2SB ←0
.305AVG ←.228
Current Season
JoshCategoryMatt
7HR ←2
28R ←27
25RBI ←21
1SB ←0
.310AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Josh Jung
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.361, +0.046 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
Josh Jung: 11 HR / 44 R. Matt Chapman: 13 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).