Rest of Season Projection
JuanCategoryRyan
47K ←27
3.71ERA3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W →3–9
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
JuanCategoryRyan
30K ←16
6.00ERA →2.89
1.70WHIP →1.39
1W →3
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.79 is 1.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia: 47 K / 3.71 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).