MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Thompson
Ryan Thompson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 1 (K); Ryan Thompson wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Ryan Thompson
91.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Ryan Thompson
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Ryan Thompson
16.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Ryan Thompson
36.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Ryan Thompson
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.2%
Ryan Thompson
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.292
Ryan Thompson
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
2.374.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
Ryan Thompson
2.374.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
1.041.31
now 1.11
1.24
Ryan Thompson
1.041.31
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
21
Ryan Thompson
4031.60
now 12
12
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.2003.80
now 2
12
Ryan Thompson
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Thompson — hold.conf 0.50
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