MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 1 (W); Samy Natera Jr. wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Samy Natera Jr.
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Samy Natera Jr.
16.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Samy Natera Jr.
38.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Samy Natera Jr.
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Samy Natera Jr.
30.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.2%
Samy Natera Jr.
5.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.292
Samy Natera Jr.
.211
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
Samy Natera Jr.
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
.9001.54
now 1.11
1.24
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.54
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4040.80
now 26
20
Samy Natera Jr.
4040.80
now 3
30
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12
Samy Natera Jr.
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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