MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Trent Thornton
Trent Thornton
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Trent Thornton’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Trent Thornton wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Sterner
93.5
Trent Thornton
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
15.8%
Trent Thornton
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
23.1%
Trent Thornton
11.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Sterner
34.2%
Trent Thornton
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
45.1%
Trent Thornton
46.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Sterner
9.8%
Trent Thornton
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Sterner
.283
Trent Thornton
.344
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Sterner
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.67
Trent Thornton
24.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.98
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Justin Sterner
.9001.38
now 1.11
1.24
Trent Thornton
.9001.38
now 0.88
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Sterner
4034
now 26
24
Trent Thornton
4034
now 6
16
Winshigher is better
Justin Sterner
.0006.60
now 2
13
Trent Thornton
.0006.60
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighTrent Thornton — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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