Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryNolan
76K →121
3.85ERA →3.37
1.26WHIP →1.24
8–17W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryNolan
40K →77
2.87ERA ←4.21
1.01WHIP ←1.12
7W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.85 is 1.23 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.37, 0.73 below league — production is earned
Justin Wrobleski: 76 K / 3.85 ERA. Nolan McLean: 121 K / 3.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).