MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TOR · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Kazuma Okamoto wins 1 (RBI); Matt Chapman wins 1 (AVG); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Kazuma Okamoto
90.5
Matt Chapman
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Kazuma Okamoto
44.3%
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Kazuma Okamoto
13.5%
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Kazuma Okamoto
27.9%
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Kazuma Okamoto
15.7%
Matt Chapman
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Kazuma Okamoto
.324
Matt Chapman
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Kazuma Okamoto
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .214
.193
Matt Chapman
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .234
.218

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Kazuma Okamoto
516.40
now 12
1
Matt Chapman
516.40
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Kazuma Okamoto
2037.20
now 28
5
Matt Chapman
2037.20
now 27
5
RBIhigher is better
Kazuma Okamoto
2044.60
now 33
6
Matt Chapman
2044.60
now 21
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Kazuma Okamoto
.0001.20
now 0
0
Matt Chapman
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyKazuma Okamoto — hold.conf 0.60
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
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