Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryShane
106K ←105
3.33ERA ←3.58
1.16WHIP ←1.29
4–9W →7–16
0SV0
Current Season
KevinCategoryShane
66K ←53
3.13ERA →2.45
1.09WHIP →1.02
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Gausman
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.33, 0.77 below league — production is earned
Shane McClanahan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.12 above the ERA — regression coming
Kevin Gausman: 106 K / 3.33 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 105 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).