MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SF · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Karros.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Matt Chapman’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Kyle Karros wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Matt Chapman wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Kyle Karros
89.7
Matt Chapman
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Kyle Karros
44.6%
Matt Chapman
35.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Kyle Karros
7.9%
Matt Chapman
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Kyle Karros
24.0%
Matt Chapman
26.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Kyle Karros
10.7%
Matt Chapman
10.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Kyle Karros
.336
Matt Chapman
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Kyle Karros
.210.260
lg AVG .295
now .222
.243
Matt Chapman
.210.260
lg AVG .295
now .234
.227

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Kyle Karros
59
now 3
3
Matt Chapman
59
now 2
7
Runshigher is better
Kyle Karros
20.8031.20
now 24
28
Matt Chapman
20.8031.20
now 27
27
RBIhigher is better
Kyle Karros
2024.20
now 16
19
Matt Chapman
2024.20
now 21
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Kyle Karros
.0003.20
now 2
2
Matt Chapman
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyKyle Karros — buy.conf 0.64
SellMatt Chapman — sell.conf 0.61
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