Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryRoyce
3HR →8
39R ←26
26RBI →30
3SB →7
.228AVG ←.190
Current Season
KyleCategoryRoyce
3HR3
24R ←11
16RBI ←13
2SB →3
.222AVG ←.159
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Karros
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.325)
Royce Lewis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.215 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kyle Karros: 3 HR / 39 R. Royce Lewis: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).