Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryRyan
3HR →11
42R ←31
28RBI →36
3SB →6
.231AVG ←.207
Current Season
KyleCategoryRyan
3HR →6
24R ←16
16RBI →19
2SB →3
.222AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Karros
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kyle Karros: 3 HR / 42 R. Ryan McMahon: 11 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).