Rest of Season Projection
LawrenceCategoryMike
9HR ←8
32R →47
27RBI →32
8SB ←2
.224AVG →.239
Current Season
LawrenceCategoryMike
3HR3
17R →25
14RBI →17
4SB ←1
.164AVG →.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Mike Yastrzemski
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse
Lawrence Butler: 9 HR / 32 R. Mike Yastrzemski: 8 HR / 47 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).