Rest of Season Projection
LoganCategoryNolan
99K →112
4.09ERA →3.35
1.16WHIP ←1.29
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
LoganCategoryNolan
69K →77
3.69ERA ←4.21
1.11WHIP ←1.12
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Logan Gilbert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.09 is 0.47 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.35, 0.75 below league — production is earned
Logan Gilbert: 99 K / 4.09 ERA. Nolan McLean: 112 K / 3.35 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).