MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Luis Severino
Luis Severino
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luis Severino wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luis Severino
96.9
Steven Matz
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
10.9%
Steven Matz
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luis Severino
24.0%
Steven Matz
18.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luis Severino
31.3%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
38.7%
Steven Matz
35.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luis Severino
8.7%
Steven Matz
12.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luis Severino
.318
Steven Matz
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luis Severino
3.845.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.16
4.20
Steven Matz
3.845.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.96
WHIPlower is better
Luis Severino
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.41
Steven Matz
1.151.56
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luis Severino
4078.20
now 65
42
Steven Matz
4078.20
now 35
32
Winshigher is better
Luis Severino
.0006.60
now 2
12
Steven Matz
.0006.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyLuis Severino — hold.conf 0.60
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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