Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryMason
40K →69
3.67ERA →3.58
1.24WHIP →1.23
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →19–36
Current Season
LukeCategoryMason
25K →49
2.77ERA →0.72
1.04WHIP →0.84
2W ←1
0SV →17
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Miller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.10)
Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Mason Miller: 69 K / 3.58 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).