Rest of Season Projection
MarcusCategoryMatt
8HR →10
30R30
30RBI ←28
7SB →9
.247AVG ←.228
Current Season
MarcusCategoryMatt
6HR ←5
23R ←22
23RBI ←21
5SB →7
.228AVG ←.198
What Each Player's System Trusts
Marcus Semien
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.249 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Matt McLain
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Marcus Semien: 8 HR / 30 R. Matt McLain: 10 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).