Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryMiguel
13HR →15
42R →67
32RBI →58
0SB →14
.228AVG.229
Current Season
MattCategoryMiguel
2HR →15
27R →44
21RBI →38
0SB →9
.234AVG →.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Chapman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Matt Chapman: 13 HR / 42 R. Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).