MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Matt Festa wins 2 (K, WHIP); Tyler Alexander wins 2 (ERA, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Festa
92.1
Tyler Alexander
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
12.9%
Tyler Alexander
8.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Festa
24.2%
Tyler Alexander
18.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Festa
33.6%
Tyler Alexander
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
36.0%
Tyler Alexander
33.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Festa
8.0%
Tyler Alexander
2.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Festa
.313
Tyler Alexander
.273
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Festa
2.505.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.72
Tyler Alexander
2.505.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Matt Festa
1.171.45
now 1.24
1.24
Tyler Alexander
1.171.45
now 1.38
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Festa
4036.60
now 27
31
Tyler Alexander
4036.60
now 21
24
Winshigher is better
Matt Festa
.5202.48
now 1
12
Tyler Alexander
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Matt Festa
.0005.60
now 1
02
Tyler Alexander
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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