MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATL · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATH · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Kurtz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Matt Olson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nick Kurtz wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Matt Olson wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Matt Olson
92.9
Nick Kurtz
93.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Matt Olson
51.6%
Nick Kurtz
58.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Matt Olson
14.1%
Nick Kurtz
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Matt Olson
27.0%
Nick Kurtz
22.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Matt Olson
11.0%
Nick Kurtz
15.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Matt Olson
.364
Nick Kurtz
.379
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Matt Olson
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .261
.235
Nick Kurtz
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .288
.244

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Matt Olson
519.60
now 16
7
Nick Kurtz
519.60
now 10
9
Runshigher is better
Matt Olson
24.2045.80
now 41
31
Nick Kurtz
24.2045.80
now 39
29
RBIhigher is better
Matt Olson
25.4050.60
now 45
34
Nick Kurtz
25.4050.60
now 41
31
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Matt Olson
.0008
now 1
1
Nick Kurtz
.0008
now 6
5
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyMatt Olson — buy.conf 0.70
BuyNick Kurtz — buy.conf 0.73
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