Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryNolan
111K →124
3.64ERA →3.36
1.25WHIP →1.24
5–11W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
MaxCategoryNolan
74K →77
2.97ERA ←4.21
1.10WHIP ←1.12
5W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.64 is 0.83 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.36, 0.74 below league — production is earned
Max Meyer: 111 K / 3.64 ERA. Nolan McLean: 124 K / 3.36 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).