MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Miguel Amaya
Miguel Amaya
CHC · C
Change to
Portrait of Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLE · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Patrick Bailey.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Miguel Amaya’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Patrick Bailey wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Miguel Amaya wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Miguel Amaya
86.8
Patrick Bailey
90.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Miguel Amaya
34.3%
Patrick Bailey
40.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Miguel Amaya
6.1%
Patrick Bailey
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Miguel Amaya
28.4%
Patrick Bailey
31.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Miguel Amaya
11.1%
Patrick Bailey
13.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Miguel Amaya
.298
Patrick Bailey
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Miguel Amaya
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .217
.190
Patrick Bailey
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .147
.210

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Miguel Amaya
54.20
now 3
2
Patrick Bailey
54.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Miguel Amaya
2027
now 15
21
Patrick Bailey
2027
now 6
8
RBIhigher is better
Miguel Amaya
2016.20
now 9
13
Patrick Bailey
2016.20
now 9
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Miguel Amaya
.0004.20
now 0
0
Patrick Bailey
.0004.20
now 2
3
If you already own them — trade angle
SellMiguel Amaya — sell.conf 0.58
Buy LowPatrick Bailey — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.69
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