Rest of Season Projection
MiguelCategoryNolan
15HR ←8
67R ←47
58RBI ←47
14SB ←2
.229AVG →.246
Current Season
MiguelCategoryNolan
15HR ←8
44R ←28
38RBI ←28
9SB ←1
.241AVG →.270
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nolan Arenado
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.336)
Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Nolan Arenado: 8 HR / 47 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).