Rest of Season Projection
MiguelCategoryRyan
15HR ←11
67R ←31
58RBI ←36
14SB ←6
.229AVG ←.207
Current Season
MiguelCategoryRyan
15HR ←6
44R ←16
38RBI ←19
9SB ←3
.241AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Ryan McMahon: 11 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).