Rest of Season Projection
MiguelCategoryZack
15HR ←10
67R ←43
58RBI ←39
14SB ←12
.229AVG.228
Current Season
MiguelCategoryZack
15HR ←6
44R ←21
38RBI ←19
9SB ←6
.241AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Zack Gelof
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.294 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).