Rest of Season Projection
MikeCategoryTroy
21HR ←8
65R ←38
45RBI ←41
7SB ←5
.244AVG →.297
Current Season
MikeCategoryTroy
14HR ←2
45R ←23
31RBI ←25
5SB ←3
.242AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mike Trout
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.275 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Mike Trout: 21 HR / 65 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).