Rest of Season Projection
MookieCategoryNick
10HR ←1
37R →39
42RBI ←19
0SB →4
.232AVG ←.214
Current Season
MookieCategoryNick
6HR ←1
14R ←10
16RBI ←5
0SB →1
.196AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mookie Betts
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.167 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Nick Allen
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.045 below the surface — regression coming
Mookie Betts: 10 HR / 37 R. Nick Allen: 1 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).