Rest of Season Projection
MunetakaCategoryWillson
13HR →14
57R ←36
55RBI ←46
1SB1
.181AVG →.255
Current Season
MunetakaCategoryWillson
20HR ←11
43R ←26
41RBI ←33
1SB1
.240AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Munetaka Murakami
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.380, +0.065 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.388, +0.073 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Munetaka Murakami: 14 HR / 58 R. Willson Contreras: 14 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).