MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Nate Pearson
Nate Pearson
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Shawn Armstrong
Shawn Armstrong
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shawn Armstrong.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Nate Pearson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Shawn Armstrong wins 2 categories (K, W); Nate Pearson wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nate Pearson
97.7
Shawn Armstrong
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nate Pearson
11.5%
Shawn Armstrong
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nate Pearson
18.2%
Shawn Armstrong
24.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nate Pearson
28.9%
Shawn Armstrong
25.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nate Pearson
33.3%
Shawn Armstrong
39.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nate Pearson
7.8%
Shawn Armstrong
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nate Pearson
.336
Shawn Armstrong
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nate Pearson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Shawn Armstrong
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Nate Pearson
.9901.43
now 1.09
1.24
Shawn Armstrong
.9901.43
now 1.33
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nate Pearson
4039.80
now 2
13
Shawn Armstrong
4039.80
now 19
29
Winshigher is better
Nate Pearson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Shawn Armstrong
.0002.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Nate Pearson
.00014
now 1
210
Shawn Armstrong
.00014
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeNate Pearson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeShawn Armstrong — hold.conf 0.50
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