Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryZack
6HR →10
44R ←43
42RBI ←39
5SB →12
.310AVG ←.228
Current Season
NickCategoryZack
1HR →6
27R ←21
26RBI ←19
3SB →6
.303AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Gonzales
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.338)
Zack Gelof
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.320 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.294 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Nick Gonzales: 6 HR / 44 R. Zack Gelof: 10 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).