Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryWillson
19HR ←16
60R ←42
63RBI ←53
9SB ←2
.249AVG →.264
Current Season
NickCategoryWillson
10HR →11
39R ←26
41RBI ←33
6SB ←1
.288AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Kurtz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.392, +0.077 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Kurtz projects for 60 R to Contreras's 42, with a 19-16 HR lead — the 20-run gap outweighs a 15-point AVG deficit.