Rest of Season Projection
NolanCategoryZack
116K ←87
3.35ERA ←3.91
1.26WHIP ←1.27
3–6W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
NolanCategoryZack
77K ←40
4.21ERA →2.27
1.12WHIP →0.85
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.35, 0.75 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.197 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.21 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean: 116 K / 3.35 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 87 K / 3.91 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).