Rest of Season Projection
OneilCategoryShohei
19HR →23
63R ←58
61RBI ←47
28SB ←9
.242AVG →.296
Current Season
OneilCategoryShohei
13HR ←10
42R ←38
41RBI ←31
19SB ←6
.255AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Shohei Ohtani
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.408, +0.093 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Shohei Ohtani: 23 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

