Rest of Season Projection
OttoCategoryTrea
11HR ←9
51R51
37RBI ←29
15SB →17
.308AVG ←.230
Current Season
OttoCategoryTrea
4HR →7
33R →34
24RBI ←19
10SB →11
.333AVG ←.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Otto Lopez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Trea Turner
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
Otto Lopez: 11 HR / 51 R. Trea Turner: 9 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).