MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Payton Tolle.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Parker Messick’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Payton Tolle wins 1 categories (ERA); Parker Messick wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Parker Messick
94.3
Payton Tolle
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Parker Messick
12.7%
Payton Tolle
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Parker Messick
26.1%
Payton Tolle
28.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Parker Messick
31.4%
Payton Tolle
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Parker Messick
32.7%
Payton Tolle
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Parker Messick
5.0%
Payton Tolle
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Parker Messick
.271
Payton Tolle
.255
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Parker Messick
23.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.03
Payton Tolle
23.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.68
WHIPlower is better
Parker Messick
.9001.25
now 1.07
1.15
Payton Tolle
.9001.25
now 0.90
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Parker Messick
4098
now 74
14
Payton Tolle
4098
now 46
14
Winshigher is better
Parker Messick
.0008.40
now 6
12
Payton Tolle
.0008.40
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
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