MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLE · C
Change to
Portrait of Pedro Pagés
Pedro Pagés
STL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Patrick Bailey.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs and average. Pedro Pagés’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Patrick Bailey wins 2 categories (HR, AVG); Pedro Pagés wins 1 (R); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Patrick Bailey
89.8
Pedro Pagés
87.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Patrick Bailey
37.7%
Pedro Pagés
38.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Patrick Bailey
6.6%
Pedro Pagés
6.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Patrick Bailey
32.3%
Pedro Pagés
37.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Patrick Bailey
13.9%
Pedro Pagés
14.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Patrick Bailey
.288
Pedro Pagés
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Patrick Bailey
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .147
.224
Pedro Pagés
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .216
.211

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Patrick Bailey
56.20
now 2
5
Pedro Pagés
56.20
now 4
4
Runshigher is better
Patrick Bailey
2024.20
now 6
11
Pedro Pagés
2024.20
now 11
19
RBIhigher is better
Patrick Bailey
2019.20
now 9
16
Pedro Pagés
2019.20
now 9
16
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Patrick Bailey
.8005.20
now 2
4
Pedro Pagés
.8005.20
now 2
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowPatrick Bailey — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seePedro Pagés — hold.conf 0.50
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