MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Yarbrough.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Paul Blackburn’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ryan Yarbrough wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Paul Blackburn wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Ryan Yarbrough
87.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
9.5%
Ryan Yarbrough
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
16.9%
Ryan Yarbrough
17.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
25.9%
Ryan Yarbrough
27.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
33.1%
Ryan Yarbrough
23.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
6.5%
Ryan Yarbrough
2.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
.297
Ryan Yarbrough
.267
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paul Blackburn
3.113.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.70
Ryan Yarbrough
3.113.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.66
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Paul Blackburn
.9901.57
now 1.44
1.25
Ryan Yarbrough
.9901.57
now 1.12
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
4028.60
now 16
20
Ryan Yarbrough
4028.60
now 14
23
Winshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0005.60
now 2
14
Ryan Yarbrough
.0005.60
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0004.40
now 0
0
Ryan Yarbrough
.0004.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeRyan Yarbrough — hold.conf 0.50
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