MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYY · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PIT · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Paul Goldschmidt.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Spencer Horwitz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Paul Goldschmidt wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Spencer Horwitz wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Paul Goldschmidt
86.5
Spencer Horwitz
86.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Paul Goldschmidt
38.2%
Spencer Horwitz
34.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Paul Goldschmidt
11.5%
Spencer Horwitz
8.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Paul Goldschmidt
34.4%
Spencer Horwitz
24.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Paul Goldschmidt
12.0%
Spencer Horwitz
6.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Paul Goldschmidt
.328
Spencer Horwitz
.339
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Paul Goldschmidt
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .261
.233
Spencer Horwitz
.210.310
lg AVG .295
now .289
.237

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Paul Goldschmidt
58.20
now 6
7
Spencer Horwitz
58.20
now 7
6
Runshigher is better
Paul Goldschmidt
2035.80
now 19
31
Spencer Horwitz
2035.80
now 24
27
RBIhigher is better
Paul Goldschmidt
2035.80
now 19
31
Spencer Horwitz
2035.80
now 26
29
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Paul Goldschmidt
.0002.20
now 0
0
Spencer Horwitz
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans buyPaul Goldschmidt — hold.conf 0.60
BuySpencer Horwitz — buy.conf 0.65
Tweet