MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Payton Tolle wins 2 (K, ERA); Tarik Skubal wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Payton Tolle
96.1
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Payton Tolle
13.9%
Tarik Skubal
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Payton Tolle
25.4%
Tarik Skubal
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Payton Tolle
34.6%
Tarik Skubal
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Payton Tolle
32.9%
Tarik Skubal
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Payton Tolle
5.7%
Tarik Skubal
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Payton Tolle
.257
Tarik Skubal
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Payton Tolle
2.204.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.67
Tarik Skubal
2.204.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
3.63
WHIPlower is better
Payton Tolle
.9001.33
now 0.90
1.21
Tarik Skubal
.9001.33
now 0.95
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Payton Tolle
40108
now 46
90
Tarik Skubal
40108
now 45
85
Winshigher is better
Payton Tolle
.00010.40
now 2
25
Tarik Skubal
.00010.40
now 3
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.74
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