Rest of Season Projection
RobbieCategoryTrevor
112K ←88
4.80ERA →4.44
1.41WHIP →1.40
3–7W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
RobbieCategoryTrevor
59K ←38
4.45ERA ←6.84
1.40WHIP ←1.56
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.18 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Trevor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Robbie Ray: 112 K / 4.80 ERA. Trevor Rogers: 88 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).