MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
NYY·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips
MIA·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

RyanCategoryTyler
32K 46
3.70ERA 3.68
1.24WHIP 1.29
0–0W0–0
1–4SV 1–5

Current Season

RyanCategoryTyler
14K 33
3.66ERA 1.63
1.12WHIP 1.27
0W0
1SV 2

What Each Player's System Trusts

Ryan Yarbrough
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.52)
Tyler Phillips
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.95 above the ERA — regression coming

Ryan Yarbrough: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 46 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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