MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
136 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Abimelec Ortiz

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.271); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Ortiz is a hold — average contact, no edge either way.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .500 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.271)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
89.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.7 mphvs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.7%
38.7%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.5%
7.5%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
93 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.271
.271*
lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
136 / 160 PA
wOBA.246
.246*
lg avg .315 ▼−.069vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
136 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.5%
26.5%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —
136 / 60 PA
Walk %5.1%
5.1%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
136 / 120 PA
BABIP.216
.216*
lg avg .295 ▼−.079vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
93 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.8%
11.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
136 / 50 PA
Chase %37.1%
37.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.6%vs his norm —
136 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.5%→7.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.5% (signal) held to league ~8.0% → projected 7.6%.
BABIP 0.216→0.228 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.216 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.211) → 0.228.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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