112 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last week—
Abimelec Ortiz
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.287); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .243R 0RBI 0SB 0
Ortiz is a hold — league average with nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .500 YTD → .243 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.287)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
78 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
78 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
78 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.287
lg avg .315 ▼−.028vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
112 / 160 PA
wOBA.271
lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
112 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
112 / 60 PA
Walk %4.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
112 / 120 PA
BABIP.233
lg avg .295 ▼−.062vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
78 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
112 / 50 PA
Chase %38.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.8%vs his norm —
112 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.0%→8.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.0% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 8.8%.
BABIP 0.233→0.230 regressednoise.243 AVG — BABIP 0.233 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.224) → 0.230.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~26 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~26 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~26 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.