73 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Ali Sánchez
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.246); BABIP 0.326 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .130HR 0R 8RBI 0SB 0
Sanchez is a hold — league average with a strikeout problem.
ROS projects AVG .000 YTD → .130 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.246)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.326 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo82.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−6.4 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
48 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %25.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.0%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
48 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm −2.4% ▼Barrel % is below his ~4.5% norm — expect it to rise.
48 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.246
lg avg .315 ▼−.069vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 160 PA
wOBA.254
lg avg .315 ▼−.061vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.1%vs his norm —
73 / 60 PA
Walk %1.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
73 / 120 PA
BABIP.326
lg avg .295 ▲+.031vs his norm +.073 ▲BABIP is above his ~.253 norm — expect it to fall.
48 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
73 / 50 PA
Chase %32.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
73 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.1%→4.0%noise0 HR — Barrel% 2.1% (noise) lifted to career ~4.5% → projected 4.0%.
BABIP 0.326→0.377 regressednoise.130 AVG — BABIP 0.326 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.235) → 0.377.
on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~25 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~25 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~25 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.