Is Amed Rosario a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Amed Rosario's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

227 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Amed Rosario

NYY·3B

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.312); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSAVG .208HR 0R 5RBI 7SB 0

Rosario is a hold — contact is fine, the plate approach is not.

His expected wOBA is .312, three points under the league average of .315, and he has 227 plate appearances, past the point where that number becomes reliable. He is not a bat to buy, and there is no luck stat inflating his line to sell against. What complicates the picture is the contact quality underneath: 90.8 mph average exit velocity and a 10.8% barrel rate, both above league average, with a large enough batted-ball sample to trust. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, though, and that tracks with a 14.7% swinging-strike rate and a 40.3% chase rate, far above league. The bat itself plays; the approach is dragging the results toward average. Hold. Deep-league streamer only: 0 HR / 5 R / 7 RBI / 0 SB / .208 AVG rest of way, a counting-category drag despite the hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %10.8%—+6.5% ▲vs his ~4.3% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.8 mphvs his norm —

157 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %41.4%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —

157 / 50 BBE

Barrel %10.8%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm +6.5% ▲

157 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.312

lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —

227 / 160 PA

wOBA.303

lg avg .315 ▼−.012vs his norm —

227 / 200 PA

Strikeout %24.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —

227 / 60 PA

Walk %6.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —

227 / 120 PA

BABIP.272

lg avg .295 ▼−.023vs his norm −.051 ▼BABIP is below his ~.324 norm — expect it to rise.

157 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %14.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —

227 / 50 PA

Chase %40.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+11.8%vs his norm —

227 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 10.8%→7.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.8% (signal) tempered to career ~4.3% → projected 7.1%.

BABIP 0.272→0.259 regressednoise.208 AVG — BABIP 0.272 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.256 (xBA 0.249) → 0.259.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~35 projected PA.

slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~35 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 32 G) over ~35 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons