100 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Austin Hays
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.298); BABIP 0.338 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Hays is a hold — his skill sits near league average.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .233 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.2%—−4.7% ▼vs his ~8.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.338 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.9 mphvs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm −4.7% ▼
71 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.298
lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 160 PA
wOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.0%vs his norm —
100 / 60 PA
Walk %3.0%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
100 / 120 PA
BABIP.338
lg avg .295 ▲+.043vs his norm +.008 ▲BABIP is above his ~.330 norm — expect it to fall.
71 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %19.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+8.3%vs his norm —
100 / 50 PA
Chase %37.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.4%vs his norm —
100 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.2%→7.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.2% (signal) lifted to career ~8.9% → projected 7.7%.
BABIP 0.338→0.376 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.338 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.284) → 0.376.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 12 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.