MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Engraved portrait of Blake Perkins
101 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Blake Perkins

data as of September 30, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.264); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Perkins is a hold — league average with nothing pulling either way.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .092 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.4%—+0.3% ▲vs his ~4.1% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.264)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.4 mph
believable since Jun 886.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.6 mphvs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.8%
33.8%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.4%
norm4.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm +0.3% ▲
68 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.264
.264*
lg avg .315 ▼−.051vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
101 / 160 PA
wOBA.236
.236*
lg avg .315 ▼−.079vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
101 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.8%
21.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
101 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
101 / 120 PA
BABIP.197
norm.197*
lg avg .295 ▼−.098vs his norm −.110 ▼BABIP is below his ~.307 norm — expect it to rise.
68 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.1%
9.1%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
101 / 50 PA
Chase %28.9%
28.9%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
101 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.4%→4.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (signal) tempered to career ~4.1% → projected 4.2%.
BABIP 0.197→0.255 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.197 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.260 (xBA 0.196) → 0.255.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 34 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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