177 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last week—
Brady House
data as of July 27, 2026·week 18
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.319); strikeout rate 28% is stable and high, caps the floor; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .222R 20RBI 22SB 1
House is a hold — league average, but K rate is rising.
ROS projects HR 7 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .232 YTD → .222 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.5%—+6.2% ▲vs his ~4.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.319)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph 0.0 mphvs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm +6.2% ▲
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.319
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —
177 / 160 PA
wOBA.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
177 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
177 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
177 / 120 PA
BABIP.280
lg avg .295 ▼−.015vs his norm −.030 ▼BABIP is below his ~.310 norm — expect it to rise.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm —
177 / 50 PA
Chase %33.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —
177 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.5%→6.6%signal2 HR — Barrel% 10.5% (signal) tempered to career ~4.3% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.280→0.305 regressednoise.222 AVG — BABIP 0.280 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.309 (xBA 0.251) → 0.305.
on-base + lineup20 R — his run rate over ~155 projected PA.
slugging + lineup22 RBI — his RBI rate over ~155 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 45 G) over ~155 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.