MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
312 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Brady House

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Buy stable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64
ROSHR 1AVG .237R 5RBI 6SB 0

House is a buy — the contact is real and climbing

His hard-hit rate is up to 47.1% against a league average of 40.0%, and both that number and his expected wOBA have been stepping up across the season with enough batted balls and plate appearances to trust them. The expected wOBA of .334 sits .019 above league average, and his actual wOBA is .308 — slightly below league, which means his real skill is running ahead of his stat line rather than being propped up by luck. He strikes out 26.6% of the time and chases 33.8% of pitches, both worse than league, so the batting average will have cold stretches. The contact quality is the part that holds. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %10.3%+6.0%vs his ~4.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.7 mph
89.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +0.7 mphvs his norm —
204 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.1%
47.1%*
lg avg 40.0% +7.1%vs his norm —
204 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.3%
norm10.3%*
lg avg 8.0% +2.3%vs his norm +6.0%
204 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.334
.334*
lg avg .315 +.019vs his norm —
312 / 160 PA
wOBA.308
.308*
lg avg .315 −.007vs his norm —
312 / 200 PA
Strikeout %26.6%
26.6%*
lg avg 22.0% +4.6%vs his norm —
312 / 60 PA
Walk %7.1%
7.1%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.4%vs his norm —
312 / 120 PA
BABIP.304
norm.304*
lg avg .295 +.009vs his norm −.006 BABIP is below his ~.310 normexpect it to rise.
204 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.7%
15.7%*
lg avg 11.0% +4.7%vs his norm —
312 / 50 PA
Chase %33.8%
33.8%*
lg avg 28.5% +5.3%vs his norm —
312 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.3%→7.3%signal1 HR — Barrel% 10.3% (signal) tempered to career ~4.3% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.304→0.326 regressednoise.237 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.334 (xBA 0.268) → 0.326.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~41 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~41 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 45 G) over ~41 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups