MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
355 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Brady House

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.333, +0.018 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

House is a buy — the contact is climbing and the line is earned

His hard-hit rate is up to 47.8% against a league average of 40.0%, and it has been stepping up across the sample — that is contact quality you can trust at 232 batted balls, well past the 50 it takes to become reliable. The expected wOBA tells the same story: .333, .018 above league, climbing as the season has gone on. His actual wOBA is .313, basically level with league, so the results are lagging the contact rather than being carried by luck. He does swing and miss more than most — a 15.1% swinging-strike rate and a 25.6% strikeout rate — and that will cost him some batting average. It does not touch the underlying skill. The bat is ahead of the surface number. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %9.5%—+5.2% ▲vs his ~4.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.333, +0.018 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.1 mph
90.1 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
232 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %47.8%
47.8%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.8%vs his norm —
232 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.5%
norm9.5%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm +5.2% ▲
232 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.333
.333*
lg avg .315 ▲+.018vs his norm —
355 / 160 PA
wOBA.313
.313*
lg avg .315 ▼−.002vs his norm —
355 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.6%
25.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
355 / 60 PA
Walk %8.2%
8.2%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
355 / 120 PA
BABIP.311
norm.311*
lg avg .295 ▲+.016vs his norm +.001 ▲BABIP is above his ~.310 norm — expect it to fall.
232 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.1%
15.1%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
355 / 50 PA
Chase %34.2%
34.2%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.7%vs his norm —
355 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.5%→7.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 9.5% (signal) tempered to career ~4.3% → projected 7.1%.
BABIP 0.311→0.324 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.311 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.329 (xBA 0.265) → 0.324.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 45 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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