Brady House
House is a buy — the contact is climbing and the line is earned
His hard-hit rate is up to 47.8% against a league average of 40.0%, and it has been stepping up across the sample — that is contact quality you can trust at 232 batted balls, well past the 50 it takes to become reliable. The expected wOBA tells the same story: .333, .018 above league, climbing as the season has gone on. His actual wOBA is .313, basically level with league, so the results are lagging the contact rather than being carried by luck. He does swing and miss more than most — a 15.1% swinging-strike rate and a 25.6% strikeout rate — and that will cost him some batting average. It does not touch the underlying skill. The bat is ahead of the surface number. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.5%—+5.2% ▲vs his ~4.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.333, +0.018 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.