101 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brendan Donovan
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.344); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .242R 12RBI 11SB 1
Donovan is a hold — league-average with limited data.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .274 YTD → .242 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %4.3%—−2.4% ▼vs his ~6.7% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.344)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.1 mphvs his norm —
70 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —
70 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm −2.4% ▼
70 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.344
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
101 / 160 PA
wOBA.370
lg avg .315 ▲+.055vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
101 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —
101 / 60 PA
Walk %10.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
101 / 120 PA
BABIP.299
lg avg .295 ▲+.004vs his norm −.009 ▼BABIP is below his ~.307 norm — expect it to rise.
70 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —
101 / 50 PA
Chase %25.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
101 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.3%→6.1%signal2 HR — Barrel% 4.3% (signal) lifted to career ~6.7% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.299→0.280 regressednoise.242 AVG — BABIP 0.299 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.279 (xBA 0.263) → 0.280.
on-base + lineup12 R — his run rate over ~139 projected PA.
slugging + lineup11 RBI — his RBI rate over ~139 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 25 G) over ~139 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.