159 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brendan Donovan
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
ON THE 7-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.314); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Donovan is a hold — league average, nothing unstable pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .274 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %2.6%—−4.1% ▼vs his ~6.7% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.314)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.3 mphvs his norm —
115 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %27.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.2%vs his norm —
115 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm −4.1% ▼
115 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.314
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
159 / 160 PA
wOBA.349
lg avg .315 ▲+.034vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
159 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.5%vs his norm —
159 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
159 / 120 PA
BABIP.313
lg avg .295 ▲+.018vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.307 norm — expect it to fall.
115 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
159 / 50 PA
Chase %25.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
159 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.6%→5.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.6% (signal) lifted to career ~6.7% → projected 5.2%.
BABIP 0.313→0.270 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.313 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.250) → 0.270.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 25 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.