MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brice Turang
613 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Brice Turang

MIL·2B
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Buy stable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.65
ROSHR 1AVG .232R 8RBI 6SB 2

Turang is a buy — the contact is real, some average will fade.

His expected wOBA is .338, .023 above the league average of .315, and he has 613 plate appearances — well past the 160 needed for that number to be reliable. The contact quality backs it up: 90.2 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, on 379 batted balls, with a hard-hit rate that has stepped up across the sample. The one caveat is his BABIP, .333 against a league average of .295. That number needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 379, so some of his batting average will give back. The skill underneath is earned, and he is walking 12.9% of the time against a league average of 8.5%. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.1%—+2.6% ▲vs his ~4.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.2 mph
90.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.2 mphvs his norm —
379 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.2%
41.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
379 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.1%
norm7.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm +2.6% ▲
379 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.338
.338*
lg avg .315 ▲+.023vs his norm —
613 / 160 PA
wOBA.345
.345*
lg avg .315 ▲+.030vs his norm —
613 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.1%
25.1%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
613 / 60 PA
Walk %12.9%
12.9%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —
613 / 120 PA
BABIP.333
norm.333*
lg avg .295 ▲+.038vs his norm +.021 ▲BABIP is above his ~.312 norm — expect it to fall.
379 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
9.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
613 / 50 PA
Chase %25.1%
25.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
613 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.1%→6.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.1% (signal) tempered to career ~4.5% → projected 6.2%.
BABIP 0.333→0.314 regressednoise.232 AVG — BABIP 0.333 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.296 (xBA 0.252) → 0.314.
on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~44 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~44 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (9 in 54 G) over ~44 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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