MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brice Turang
680 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Brice Turang

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.344 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.66
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Turang is a buy — real contact, and the average has room to give back.

His hard-hit rate has climbed all year to 41.6%, and he is making that contact on 418 batted balls — well past the 50 needed to trust it. The expected wOBA confirms the production is earned: .344 against a league average of .315, and that number has stepped up as the sample grew. His .344 BABIP matches that expected line, but BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 418, so some batting average will come back to him. The rest of the profile is sound: a 13.2% walk rate against a league average of 8.5% gives him a strong on-base floor, and a 10% swinging-strike rate below league says the strike zone decisions are fine. The bat stands on its own even as the bounces even out. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.7%—+3.2% ▲vs his ~4.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.344, +0.029 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.344 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
90.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphvs his norm —
418 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.6%
41.6%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
418 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.7%
norm7.7%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm +3.2% ▲
418 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.344
.344*
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —
680 / 160 PA
wOBA.358
.358*
lg avg .315 ▲+.043vs his norm —
680 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.1%
25.1%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
680 / 60 PA
Walk %13.2%
13.2%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
680 / 120 PA
BABIP.344
norm.344*
lg avg .295 ▲+.049vs his norm +.032 ▲BABIP is above his ~.312 norm — expect it to fall.
418 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.0%
10.0%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
680 / 50 PA
Chase %24.8%
24.8%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
680 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.7%→6.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.7% (signal) tempered to career ~4.5% → projected 6.7%.
BABIP 0.344→0.323 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.344 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.300 (xBA 0.255) → 0.323.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (9 in 54 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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