MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brice Turang
416 PA · week 17
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Brice Turang

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Buy stable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.335 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.67
ROSHR 4AVG .237R 37RBI 27SB 7

Turang is a buy — contact quality is rising and stable.

His hard-hit rate has ticked up across the season and now sits at 44.4%, four points above league average, on enough batted balls to trust. His expected wOBA is .348 — .033 above league — and that number is stable at 416 plate appearances. His actual wOBA is .358, slightly higher, but his BABIP of .335 is still settling, so some of the average will give back. The bat is real: his exit velocity, walk rate, and chase rate are all better than league. The skill is above-average and the sample supports it. Buy. With a 4 HR / 37 R / 27 RBI / 7 SB / .237 AVG line, he's a deep-league asset worth acquiring for the speed.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %8.5%+4.0%vs his ~4.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.335 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.9 mph
90.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.9 mphvs his norm —
259 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.4%
44.4%*
lg avg 40.0% +4.4%vs his norm —
259 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.5%
norm8.5%*
lg avg 8.0% +0.5%vs his norm +4.0%
259 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.348
.348*
lg avg .315 +.033vs his norm —
416 / 160 PA
wOBA.358
.358*
lg avg .315 +.043vs his norm —
416 / 200 PA
Strikeout %24.8%
24.8%*
lg avg 22.0% +2.8%vs his norm —
416 / 60 PA
Walk %13.0%
13.0%*
lg avg 8.5% +4.5%vs his norm —
416 / 120 PA
BABIP.335
norm.335*
lg avg .295 +.040vs his norm +.023 BABIP is above his ~.312 normexpect it to fall.
259 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.3%
9.3%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.7%vs his norm —
416 / 50 PA
Chase %23.8%
23.8%*
lg avg 28.5% −4.7%vs his norm —
416 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.5%→6.8%signal4 HR — Barrel% 8.5% (signal) tempered to career ~4.5% → projected 6.8%.
BABIP 0.335→0.312 regressednoise.237 AVG — BABIP 0.335 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.301 (xBA 0.256) → 0.312.
on-base + lineup37 R — his run rate over ~199 projected PA.
slugging + lineup27 RBI — his RBI rate over ~199 projected PA.
run rate / role7 SB — his steal rate (9 in 54 G) over ~199 projected PA.
rosterdeep83 R/RBI

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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