Is Cal Raleigh a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Cal Raleigh's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

520 PA · week 27

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Cal Raleigh

SEA·C

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27

Hold · steady skill near league average (0.312); strikeout rate 31% is stable and high, caps the floor; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Raleigh is a hold — league-average skill, high strikeouts cap the floor.

His expected wOBA is .312, essentially league average, and he has 520 plate appearances, well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .297, slightly below, so there is no luck story inflating or deflating the line. His contact quality is mixed but close to league: 90.1 mph average exit velocity and a 39.6% hard-hit rate, both near average, though his barrel rate of 14.4% is well above league. The problem is his strikeout rate, which is stable and high at 31.2%, and it has been climbing. That caps his floor and keeps the overall profile from tilting either way. Nothing here is unstable enough to sell or buy. Hold.

VS His Norm

Barrel %14.4%—−1.6% ▼vs his ~16.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —

284 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %39.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —

284 / 50 BBE

Barrel %14.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.4%vs his norm −1.6% ▼

284 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.312

lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —

520 / 160 PA

wOBA.297

lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —

520 / 200 PA

Strikeout %31.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.2%vs his norm —

520 / 60 PA

Walk %13.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —

520 / 120 PA

BABIP.215

lg avg .295 ▼−.080vs his norm −.042 ▼BABIP is below his ~.257 norm — expect it to rise.

284 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %15.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —

520 / 50 PA

Chase %35.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+7.3%vs his norm —

520 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 14.4%→15.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 14.4% (signal) lifted to career ~16.0% → projected 15.1%.

BABIP 0.215→0.225 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.215 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.190) → 0.225.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 41 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons