MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Chase DeLauter
559 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Chase DeLauter

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.346, +0.031 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.315 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.66
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

DeLauter is a buy — the contact is elite and still climbing.

His hard-hit rate is 46.3% against a league average of 40.0%, and it has been stepping up across the sample — the trajectory is the tell, not just the level. His expected wOBA is .346, 31 points above league, on 559 plate appearances, comfortably past the 160 needed to trust it. There is no empty contact here: he strikes out 14.7% of the time against a 22.0% league average, and his swinging-strike rate of 6.3% is nearly half the league's 11.0%. The one caveat is his BABIP of .315, 20 points above league on 416 balls in play — that number is not reliable yet, so some of his .359 actual wOBA will give back. The contact is not giving anything back. Buy.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.346, +0.031 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.315 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.4 mph
91.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.4 mphvs his norm —
416 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.3%
46.3%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.3%vs his norm —
416 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
416 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.346
.346*
lg avg .315 ▲+.031vs his norm —
559 / 160 PA
wOBA.359
.359*
lg avg .315 ▲+.044vs his norm —
559 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.7%
14.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.3%vs his norm —
559 / 60 PA
Walk %10.7%
10.7%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
559 / 120 PA
BABIP.315
.315*
lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
416 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.3%
6.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —
559 / 50 PA
Chase %21.1%
21.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —
559 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.315→0.300 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.315 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.283 (xBA 0.277) → 0.300.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 56 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups