MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Chase DeLauter
499 PA · week 25
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Chase DeLauter

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Buy stable xwOBA 0.343, +0.028 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.66
ROSHR 1AVG .276R 4RBI 6SB 0

DeLauter is a buy — the contact is real, the average will give some back.

His expected wOBA is .343, .028 above the league average of .315, and he has 499 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The contact quality backs it up and is still climbing: a 45.8% hard-hit rate, 91.3 mph average exit velocity, and an xwOBA that has stepped up across the sample. His BABIP is .327 against a league average of .295, and that is where the caveat lives. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable; he has 374, so some of the batting average will give back when it normalizes. The plate discipline underneath is genuinely good — 14.8% strikeouts, 6.5% swinging strikes, both well better than league. Buy. 1 HR / 4 R / 6 RBI is deep-league counting only, so stream him in deep formats rather than treat him as a roster-anywhere asset.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.343, +0.028 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.3 mph
91.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +2.3 mphvs his norm —
374 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.8%
45.8%*
lg avg 40.0% +5.8%vs his norm —
374 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.1%
6.1%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.9%vs his norm —
374 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.343
.343*
lg avg .315 +.028vs his norm —
499 / 160 PA
wOBA.360
.360*
lg avg .315 +.045vs his norm —
499 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.8%
14.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −7.2%vs his norm —
499 / 60 PA
Walk %10.2%
10.2%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.7%vs his norm —
499 / 120 PA
BABIP.327
.327*
lg avg .295 +.032vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
374 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.5%
6.5%*
lg avg 11.0% −4.5%vs his norm —
499 / 50 PA
Chase %21.6%
21.6%*
lg avg 28.5% −6.9%vs his norm —
499 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.1%→6.5%signal1 HR — Barrel% 6.1% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.5%.
BABIP 0.327→0.303 regressednoise.276 AVG — BABIP 0.327 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.276) → 0.303.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 56 G) over ~43 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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