MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Chase DeLauter
333 PA · week 17
this weekBUY
last weekBUY

Chase DeLauter

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Buy stable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.66
ROSAVG .268HR 4R 18RBI 26SB 2

DeLauter is a buy — contact quality is elite and trending up.

DeLauter's expected wOBA sits at .345, 30 points above league average, and he has over 300 plate appearances — plenty to trust the number. His actual wOBA is .347, so he is earning his production rather than relying on luck. The metric driving this call is his hard-hit rate, which has been stepping up across the sample and now sits at 44.3%, well above the league mark. His exit velocity and barrel rate also support the picture, even if the barrel rate is slightly below league — the overall contact profile is clearly above average. His strikeout rate is an elite 13.5% and his chases sit well below average, showing he makes consistent, quality swing decisions. The skill is real and the trajectory is rising. Buy. The 4 HR, 18 R, 26 RBI, 2 SB, .268 AVG line supports a deep-league asset with rising skill — add now.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.9 mph
90.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.9 mphvs his norm —
256 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.3%
44.3%*
lg avg 40.0% +4.3%vs his norm —
256 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.6%
6.6%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.4%vs his norm —
256 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.345
.345*
lg avg .315 +.030vs his norm —
333 / 160 PA
wOBA.347
.347*
lg avg .315 +.032vs his norm —
333 / 200 PA
Strikeout %13.5%
13.5%*
lg avg 22.0% −8.5%vs his norm —
333 / 60 PA
Walk %9.6%
9.6%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.1%vs his norm —
333 / 120 PA
BABIP.294
.294*
lg avg .295 −.001vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league averageexpect it to rise.
256 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.8%
6.8%*
lg avg 11.0% −4.2%vs his norm —
333 / 50 PA
Chase %20.4%
20.4%*
lg avg 28.5% −8.1%vs his norm —
333 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.6%→6.9%signal4 HR — Barrel% 6.6% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.9%.
BABIP 0.294→0.288 regressednoise.268 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.285 (xBA 0.279) → 0.288.
on-base + lineup18 R — his run rate over ~192 projected PA.
slugging + lineup26 RBI — his RBI rate over ~192 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 56 G) over ~192 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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